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After surge, Amazon deforestation slows for second straight month

  • Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon declined for the second straight month according to data released today by Brazil’s national space research institute INPE.
  • Year to date, INPE’s DETER deforestation alert system has registered 5,822 square kilometers of forest clearance. At this time last year the tally stood at 6,099 square kilometers.
  • Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon hit a 12-year high last year.

Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon declined for the second straight month according to data released today by the Brazilian government.

Brazil’s national space research institute INPE detected 918 square kilometers of forest clearing during August 2021, down 32% from a year ago. That follows a 10% year-over-year decline in July.

Year to date, INPE’s DETER deforestation alert system has registered 5,822 square kilometers of forest clearance. At this time last year, when deforestation hit a 12-year high, the tally stood at 6,099 square kilometers.

Deforestation alert data between Jan 1 and Aug 31 according to INPE's DETER system
Deforestation alert data between Jan 1 and Aug 31 according to INPE’s DETER system

Month-to-month data from deforestation alert systems can be highly variable. For that reason, the official baseline for tracking deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon relies on a different system — called PRODES — that measures forest loss between August 1 and July 31 each year. Data from PRODES for the year ended July 31, 2021 is expected in late October or November.

Nonetheless, the short-term deforestation alert system data can be useful for tracking intra-year trends in the Amazon. INPE’s DETER is a bellwether, but Imazon, a Brazilian NGO, operates its own system called SAD that acts as an independent check on what is reported by the government.

Monthly deforestation alert data from INPE DETER and Imazon SAD.
Monthly deforestation alert data from INPE DETER and Imazon SAD.

Typically DETER and SAD show a strong correlation, but there has been an unusual divergence over the past year, during which INPE has reported a downward trend in deforestation, while Imazon has registered a sharp rise.

Carlous Souza, a senior researcher at Imazon, told Mongabay the discrepancy may be attributable to differences in how the two systems distinguish between deforestation and forest degradation.

“The DETER system detected less deforestation than SAD this year, but much more in 2019 and 2020,” he explained. “Most of the differences can be attributed to the degradation signal. DETER detected 21,349 square kilometers of forest degradation between Aug 2020 and Jul 2021, while SAD detect much less (8,096 square kilometers) in the same period.”

“We compared these datasets and observed that areas that were classified as forest degradation by the DETER system were classified as deforested in the SAD system. We are still working to understand the difference in the forest degradation stats.”

The longer-term trend according to both INPE and Imazon, however, is rising deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, which accounts for roughly two-thirds of the Amazon rainforest, Earth’s largest tropical forest. Deforestation in the region has been heading upward since 2012.

12-month rolling total deforestation registered via INPE's DETER system.
State-level, 12-month rolling total deforestation registered via INPE’s DETER system.
State-level, Annual deforestation registered via INPE's DETER system using an Aug 1 through Jul 31 year.
State-level, Annual deforestation registered via INPE’s DETER system using an Aug 1 through Jul 31 year.

The increase in deforestation has been particularly sharp since Jair Bolsonaro took office in January 2019. During his campaign, Bolsonaro pledged to open up more of the Amazon to logging, mining, cattle ranching, and agriculture, while opposing the demarcation of more protected areas and Indigenous reserves. Once elected, Bolsonaro rolled back many environmental protections, reduced budgets for monitoring and law enforcement in the Amazon, and continued to use heated rhetoric against scientists, environmentalists, and Indigenous peoples.

Scientists and environmentalists are concerned that continued deforestation and degradation in the Amazon could tip the rainforest ecosystem toward a drier, savanna-like landscape that is more prone to fire and sequesters less carbon. There are indications in the southern and western parts of the Amazon basin that such a transition may already be underway.

Forest fire in a degraded area in the Mapinguari National Park, in Lábrea, Amazonas state on July 29, 2021. Photo © Christian Braga / Greenpeace
Forest fire in a degraded area in the Mapinguari National Park, in Lábrea, Amazonas state on July 29, 2021. Photo © Christian Braga / Greenpeace

Mongabay aggregates monthly alert data at AmazonMonitoring.com.

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