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Wildlife don’t recognize borders, nor does climate change. Conservation should keep up

A critically endangered Cao-Vit gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) swings on a tree.

A critically endangered Cao-Vit gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) swings on a tree. Image courtesy of Nguyen Duc Tho/FFI.

  • A set of studies focused on the China-Vietnam border demonstrates that the impacts of climate change will make transboundary conservation even more important for endangered species like the Cao-Vit gibbon and tiger geckos.
  • Conservation in transboundary areas is already challenging because of physical barriers, like fences and walls, as well as non-physical ones, such as different legal systems or conservation approaches between countries on either side.
  • Changes in climatic factors such as temperature and rainfall are likely to mean that, for many species, suitable habitat may be in a different place than it is now — and in many cases, this could be in a different country

With national borders created for geopolitical rather than ecological reasons, it’s unsurprising that the ranges of more than half of all terrestrial mammals, birds and amphibians cross at least one border.

Take, for example, the critically endangered Cao-Vit gibbon (Nomascus nasutus). Also known as the eastern black-crested gibbon, the species was thought to be extinct until 2002, when a research team found a single, small population hidden in a 2,500-hectare (6,200-acre) patch of limestone forest straddling the Vietnam-China border.

For species like this, whose range is close to or straddles international borders, what happens when climate change shrinks and shifts its suitable habitat while the human-made borders stay in place?

A recent special edition of the journal Frontiers of Biogeography seeks to address this question by bringing together six studies of species and ecosystems along the China-Vietnam border.

Ultimately, the studies highlight the importance of transboundary cooperation as the climate changes.

“Species protection is a global issue and due to climate change, habitats and distribution areas of species across different biomes will shrink or shift,” said Thomas Zeigler, coordinator for biodiversity and nature conservation projects in Vietnam and Laos for Cologne Zoo and a contributing author of one of the studies. “These are the two most important reasons why enhanced conservation cooperation across borders is required.”

Transboundary areas can pose significant challenges, as well as occasionally opportunities, for conservation. Perhaps the most obvious issue is from the 47,000 kilometers (29,200 miles) of physical barriers so far erected along terrestrial national borders — a number that is growing as politicians look to tackle issues of human migration. Physical barriers prevent animals from migrating and fragment their populations, both of which can have serious negative consequences. The challenge of coordinating activities between countries, which often have different legal systems, approaches and languages, creates other, less-visible, difficulties for transboundary conservation and research.

Also known as the eastern black-crested gibbon, the critically endangered Cao-Vit gibbon (<i>Nomascus nasutus</i>) was thought to be extinct until 2002, when a research team found a single, small population hidden in a 2,500-hectare (6,200-acre) patch of limestone forest straddling the Vietnam-China border.
Also known as the eastern black-crested gibbon, the critically endangered Cao-Vit gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) was thought to be extinct until 2002, when a research team led by Fauna & Flora International (FFI) found a single, small population hidden in a 2,500-hectare (6,200-acre) patch of limestone forest straddling the Vietnam-China border. Image courtesy of Hoang Van Tuan/FFI.

Modeling climate impacts

“It is very important to understand how species are going to adapt to the impacts of climate change,” says Minh Le, an environmental ecologist at Vietnam National University, Hanoi, who co-edited the special edition and was a contributing author on several of the studies.

Thanks to a collaborative conservation effort between China and Vietnam to protect the Cao-Vit gibbons from their main threats of hunting and habitat loss, the population is slowly recovering to a current total of 135. However, with such a small and geographically isolated population, climate change could be potentially disastrous for the Cao-Vit gibbons, so understanding how climate change might affect the population was a high priority for Le and his colleagues.

To predict what might happen with climate change, the research team built species distribution models that look at what conditions a species needs to survive, such as temperature and rainfall levels, then look at where those conditions might be found after the predicted impacts of climate change. As with any modeling exercise, a key challenge for the researchers was evaluating the accuracy of the data used to build the models.

For the Cao-Vit gibbon, the researchers’ models predict that their potentially suitable habitat is likely to shrink and fragment, although their small current range will still be suitable. The team say their study can help direct conservationists toward the most suitable places to focus their efforts for expanding the population. With much of the potentially suitable habitat close to the China-Vietnam border, the authors highlight the need for collaborative transboundary conservation initiatives.

Thanks to the combined efforts of Fauna & Flora International (FFI) and their partners in Vietnam, cao vit gibbon numbers have stabilised and rebounded to an estimated 135 individuals, more than double the population at the time of its rediscovery by FFI in 2002.
Thanks to the combined efforts of Fauna & Flora International (FFI) and their partners in Vietnam, Cao-Vit gibbon numbers have stabilized and rebounded to an estimated 135 individuals, more than double the population at the time of its rediscovery by FFI in 2002. Image courtesy of Hoang Van Tuan/FFI.
Climate models also predict that the potential range with a suitable climate is also likely to shrink and fragment for other species covered in the journal, such as the Lichtenfelder’s tiger gecko (<i>Goniurosaurus lichtenfelderi</i>).
Climate models also predict that the potential range with a suitable climate is also likely to shrink and fragment for other species covered in the journal, such as the Lichtenfelder’s tiger gecko (Goniurosaurus lichtenfelderi). Image by Gordon lai Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Climate models also predict that the potential range with a suitable climate is also likely to shrink and fragment for other species covered in the journal, such as the Lichtenfelder’s tiger gecko (Goniurosaurus lichtenfelderi). Tiger geckos, as with most reptiles, are adapted to very specific conditions, making them vulnerable to climatic changes such as an increase in temperature. As with the Cao-Vit gibbon, much of the tiger gecko’s potential range is found in the border areas in northern Vietnam and southern China.

“Research and management collaborations between China and Vietnam’s authorities in the near future will be essential for establishing a species and habitat conservation area in the unprotected border region between the two countries,” Zeigler said.

While the special edition of the journal focuses only on the border between Vietnam and China, climate change is predicted to impact species in border regions around the world. According to another recent study, if we fail to reduce greenhouse gas emissions soon, more than half of climatically suitable habitat for 35% of all mammals and 29% of all birds will be in a completely different country by 2070. Another study found that the warming of the world’s oceans is pushing commercially important fish stocks in shared waters away from their current habitats and toward Earth’s poles.

“The most important thing is that political leaders need to realize that global biodiversity conservation needs international cooperation,” said Jiajia Liu, a researcher from Fudan University in Shanghai, who has studied transboundary conservation and was not involved in the special issue. “The key issue for transboundary conservation in the near future is to consider climate change.”

There’s been a growing awareness of the importance of transboundary conservation in recent years, with organizations such as Peace Parks collaborating with national governments to create vast international conservation areas. The long-running collaboration between Serengeti National Park in Tanzania and Masai Mara National Reserve in Kenya ensures that more than a million wildebeest can continue to make their vast annual migration — one of the last great wildlife migrations on Earth. As this recent special edition highlights, transboundary conservation initiatives such as these will be increasingly important in the future.

“The special issue has already received positive feedback from colleagues and government agencies,” Le said. “There is no way to successfully conserve the [Cao-Vit gibbon] without collective efforts.”

Banner image: A critically endangered Cao-Vit gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) swings on a tree. Image courtesy of Nguyen Duc Tho/FFI.

Citations:

Liu, J., Yong, D. L., Choi, C. Y., & Gibson, L. (2020). Transboundary frontiers: An emerging priority for biodiversity conservation. Trends in Ecology & Evolution35(8), 679-690. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2020.03.004

Ngo, H. N., Nguyen, H. Q., Phan, T. Q., Nguyen, T. Q., Gewiss, L. R., Rödder, D., & Ziegler, T. (2022). Modeling the environmental refugia of the endangered Lichtenfelder’s Tiger Gecko (Goniurosaurus lichtenfelderi) towards implementation of transboundary conservation. Frontiers of Biogeography14(1). doi:10.21425/F5FBG51167

Trinh-Dinh, H., Nguyen, A. T., Le, M. D., Li, X., Cao, N. T. H., & Blair, M. E. (2022). Assessment of climate change impacts on one of the rarest apes on Earth, the Cao Vit Gibbon Nomascus nasutusFrontiers of Biogeography14(1). doi:10.21425/F5FBG53320

Titley, M. A., Butchart, S. H., Jones, V. R., Whittingham, M. J., & Willis, S. G. (2021). Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences118(7). doi:10.1073/pnas.2011204118

Palacios‐Abrantes, J., Frölicher, T. L., Reygondeau, G., Sumaila, U. R., Tagliabue, A., Wabnitz, C. C. C., & Cheung, W. W. L. (2022). Timing and magnitude of climate‐driven range shifts in transboundary fish stocks challenge their management. Global Change Biology28(7), 2312-2326. doi:10.1111/gcb.16058

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