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Global carbon dioxide emissions stay flat for second year in a row

Coal power plant in Datteln (Germany) at the Dortmund-Ems-Kanal. Photo by Arnold Paul, Wikimedia Commons CC BY-SA 3.0.

  • Latest data by IEA shows that in 2015, global carbon dioxide emissions remained flat, for second year in a row.
  • This is largely due to an increase in the use of renewable energy, and a decline in emissions by China and the U.S.
  • However, emissions by many developing Asian economies, the Middle East, and some countries in Europe have continued to increase, according to the IEA.

For several decades, growth in global economy has been linked to an increase in global carbon dioxide emissions.

Last year though, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that carbon dioxide emissions in 2014 had remained unchanged from 2013. This was despite a 3.4 percent growth in global GDP (Gross Domestic Product) that year, the IEA reported.

Latest data by IEA shows that in 2015 too, carbon dioxide emissions remained flat. While global economy in 2015 grew by 3.1 percent, global emissions stood at 32.1 billion metric tons, close to 32.3 billion metric tons in 2014. This suggests that emissions may have “decoupled” from economic growth, the IEA reported.

“The new figures confirm last year’s surprising but welcome news: we now have seen two straight years of greenhouse gas emissions decoupling from economic growth,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said in a statement. “Coming just a few months after the landmark COP21 agreement in Paris, this is yet another boost to the global fight against climate change.”

According to the IEA, surge in renewables was largely responsible for keeping emissions the same as 2013.
According to the IEA, surge in renewables was largely responsible for keeping emissions the same as 2013. Graph from International Energy Agency.

According to the IEA’s preliminary data, this “decoupling” is largely due to an increase in the use of renewable energy. Renewables — mostly wind — accounted for about 90 percent of all new electricity generation in 2015, IEA’s press release said.

Reduction of emissions by China and the United States in 2015 also contributed to the emissions staying flat, IEA said.

China’s decline in emissions is mostly due to decreased dependency on coal. According to the IEA, less than 70 percent of the country’s electricity in 2015 was generated from coal, while that from low-carbon sources, including hydro and wind, increased to 28 percent from 19 percent in 2014. Overall, China’s emissions appear to have declined by 1.5 percent.

Emissions in the United States, too, seem to have declined by 2 percent, mostly due to switch from coal to natural gas, IEA said.

At the same time, emissions in many developing Asian economies, the Middle East, and some countries in Europe continued to increase, IEA’s preliminary data suggests.

“As we are witnessing alarming temperature increases, this is no time to sit back and enjoy the ride,” Li Shuo, Greenpeace East Asia senior climate adviser, said in a statement. “World leaders in Paris agreed to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C, which requires unprecedented efforts today, not tomorrow, to scale up renewable energy and reduce energy consumption globally.”

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