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Global forest cover lower than previously estimated, says UN

CHANGES IN THE UN FAO'S FORESTY DATA
CHANGES IN THE UN FAO’S FORESTY DATA: “FRA 2010” is FAO’s Global Forest Resources Assessment 2010, which is based on forest inventory data. “FAO 2011” is the new satellite-based assessment.

Global forest cover, as well as forest loss, is lower than previously estimated by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), according to a new satellite-based assessment that replaces the self-reporting system previously used by the U.N. agency.



The survey found the world’s total forest cover amounted to 3.69 billion hectares, or roughly 30 percent of global land area, in 2005. FAO’s Global Forest Resources Assessment 2010 (FRA 2010) — which was based on the old system — put total forest cover at 4.06 billion hectares.



FAO says that nearly half (44 percent) the world’s remaining forest cover lies in the tropics, while another third is in boreal regions. Temperate forests account for 13 percent of the global total, while sub-tropical forests amount to only 9 percent.



The remote sensing survey also evaluated change in forest cover. It found a net reduction in global forest area between 1990 and 2005 of 72.9 million hectares, or roughly a third lower than the previous estimate of 107.4 million hectares. Much of the discrepancy came from better analysis of African forests, where self-reported data was out of date.




Distribution of global forest area (2005) by climatic domain. Courtesy of FAO.

The satellite-based survey showed a jump in deforestation between 2000 and 2005 relative to the 1990s. The rate of net forest loss increased 56 percent from 4.1 million hectares per year in the 1990s to 6.4 million hectares per year from 2000-2005. In contrast, the previous assessment reported a decrease in deforestation between the two periods. Overall the vast majority of forest loss occurred in the tropics where forests declined by an average of 6.9 million hectares per year during the period (6.3 million ha in the 1990s, 8 million ha from 2000-2005). Other regions — the boreal, temperate, and subtopics — experienced increases in net forest cover due to reforestation, natural forest recovery, and establishment of plantations.



Excluding forest recovery, reforestation, and plantations, the global deforestation rate averaged 14.5 million hectares per year over the entire assessment period, roughly equivalent to prior estimates. Tropical deforestation increased from roughly 8.2 million hectares per year in the 1990s to about 10 million from 2000 to 2005.



FAO says its assessment does not adequately account for changes in tree cover in areas where the canopy is less than 30 percent. Forests will low canopy cover are usually degraded or occur in dry areas.



FAO did not release data for individual countries. That assessment will be available at a later date.




Annual change in forest area (1990–2000 and 2000–2005) by climatic domain.



Annual change in forest area (1990–2000 and 2000–2005) by region. Note the net result (blue) is the result of the sum of the gross gains minus losses. A negative net result indicates overall forest conversion to other land uses. Courtesy of FAO.









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