Scientists find subtle wind variations may spur Abrupt Climate Change
German and Spanish climate scientists have found that subtle changes in wind strength can significantly influence the global climate and may even have been responsible for Abrupt Climate Change in the past. The findings, published in Geophysical Research Letters, shed light on the dynamics of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, which is the oceans' heat engine.
Abrupt Climate Change (ACC) refers to an event where a large and widespread shift in climate occurs within a short period, in time spans as short as a decade. Most of the current studies and debates on potential climate change have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global temperatures. But recent and rapidly advancing evidence demonstrates that Earth's climate repeatedly has shifted dramatically and suddenly in the past. It is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt climate events. Analysis of past ACC events can help today's research into the eventuality of a repetition of such an event, this time induced by human activities.
Simulating the climate during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), which occurred roughly 21,000 years ago, is a major challenge for climate modeling, say Marisa Montoya of the Department of Astrophysics and Atmospheric Sciences at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid, and Anders Levermann of Earth System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany. In particular, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) - also known as the Thermohaline Circulation (THC) or sometimes called the ocean conveyor belt (see image, click to enlarge)- which regulates climate by distributing heat to the world's oceans and involves deepwater formation in the North Atlantic, is poorly constrained in model scenarios.
To characterize the AMOC during the LGM, models must accurately simulate surface winds, which facilitate horizontal and vertical mixing in the ocean. Noting that wind fields during the LGM are not well understood, Montoya and Levermann model how changes in wind strength would affect AMOC strength.
By assuming that LGM wind stresses are proportional to those experienced today, the authors discover that below certain thresholds of wind strength, North Atlantic deepwater formation takes place south of Greenland and the AMOC is relatively weak. Above this threshold, deepwater formation occurs farther north, leading to a vigorous AMOC. This suggests that subtle wind variations can significantly influence climate, perhaps even spurring abrupt climate change events:
energy :: sustainability :: biomass :: bioenergy :: biofuels :: Abrupt Climate Change :: biodiesel :: AMOC :: thermohaline circulation :: wind :: North Atlantic :: oceans :: global warming ::
Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, scientists have urged policy-makers to consider expanding research into ACC, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.
One research group that was given a mandate by the G8 to study ways to avert and adapt to ACC is the Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group (ACCS).
The key strategy which it designed to prevent ACCS is the rapid implementation of carbon-negative bioenergy systems. All coal plants would be forced to switch to biomass, which is combusted as solid biofuels to power societies, while the CO2 released from this carbon neutral energy is sequestered in geological formations. This way, "negative emissions" are generated that can turn the tide and reverse climate change.
Writing about ACC and how bio-energy with carbon storage systems (BECS) can be implemented, Dr Peter Read and Jonathan Lermit of the ACCS indicate that:
The Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group however identified bio-energy with carbon storage (BECS) as a safe, feasible, efficient and cost-effective intervention, that performs on the scale of geo-engineering options, but allows societies to function more or less as normal.
As scientists are more and more talking terms of radically cutting global CO2 emissions, such carbon-negative bioenergy systems have become the key to achieving this aim. Negative emissions energy systems can be implemented today, at relatively low cost and by using existing infrastructures (coal plants switching to biomass; natural gas plants swithing to biogas and synthetic biomass based gas - SNG).
References:
Montoya, M., and A. Levermann (2008), "Surface wind-stress threshold for glacial Atlantic overturning", Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L03608, doi:10.1029/2007GL032560.
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution: Abrupt Climate Change.
Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group.
P. Read and J. R. Lermit, "Bio-energy with carbon storage (BECS): a sequential decision approach to the threat of abrupt climate change", Energy, November 2005, vol. 30, no14, pp. 2654-2671 [*pdf - link to full article located at ACCStrategy].
Biopact: Abrupt Climate Change and geo-engineering the planet with carbon-negative bioenergy - December 21, 2006
Article continues
Abrupt Climate Change (ACC) refers to an event where a large and widespread shift in climate occurs within a short period, in time spans as short as a decade. Most of the current studies and debates on potential climate change have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global temperatures. But recent and rapidly advancing evidence demonstrates that Earth's climate repeatedly has shifted dramatically and suddenly in the past. It is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt climate events. Analysis of past ACC events can help today's research into the eventuality of a repetition of such an event, this time induced by human activities.
Simulating the climate during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), which occurred roughly 21,000 years ago, is a major challenge for climate modeling, say Marisa Montoya of the Department of Astrophysics and Atmospheric Sciences at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid, and Anders Levermann of Earth System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany. In particular, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) - also known as the Thermohaline Circulation (THC) or sometimes called the ocean conveyor belt (see image, click to enlarge)- which regulates climate by distributing heat to the world's oceans and involves deepwater formation in the North Atlantic, is poorly constrained in model scenarios.
To characterize the AMOC during the LGM, models must accurately simulate surface winds, which facilitate horizontal and vertical mixing in the ocean. Noting that wind fields during the LGM are not well understood, Montoya and Levermann model how changes in wind strength would affect AMOC strength.
By assuming that LGM wind stresses are proportional to those experienced today, the authors discover that below certain thresholds of wind strength, North Atlantic deepwater formation takes place south of Greenland and the AMOC is relatively weak. Above this threshold, deepwater formation occurs farther north, leading to a vigorous AMOC. This suggests that subtle wind variations can significantly influence climate, perhaps even spurring abrupt climate change events:
energy :: sustainability :: biomass :: bioenergy :: biofuels :: Abrupt Climate Change :: biodiesel :: AMOC :: thermohaline circulation :: wind :: North Atlantic :: oceans :: global warming ::
Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, scientists have urged policy-makers to consider expanding research into ACC, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.
One research group that was given a mandate by the G8 to study ways to avert and adapt to ACC is the Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group (ACCS).
The key strategy which it designed to prevent ACCS is the rapid implementation of carbon-negative bioenergy systems. All coal plants would be forced to switch to biomass, which is combusted as solid biofuels to power societies, while the CO2 released from this carbon neutral energy is sequestered in geological formations. This way, "negative emissions" are generated that can turn the tide and reverse climate change.
Writing about ACC and how bio-energy with carbon storage systems (BECS) can be implemented, Dr Peter Read and Jonathan Lermit of the ACCS indicate that:
Abrupt Climate Change (ACC - NAS, 2001) is an issue that ‘haunts the climate change problem’ (IPCC, 2001) but has been neglected by policy makers up to now, maybe for want of practicable measures for effective response, save for risky geo-engineering.Such geo-engineering plans are circulating within the scientific community but they are very costly and present major risks. Ideas include launching mirrors into space or iron seeding oceans on a massive scale. A geo-engineering idea by Nobel-Prize winner Paul Crutzen consists of filling the upper atmosphere with sulphur, to emulate the climate cooling effects of volcanos. However, this idea was soon dismissed as too risky and deadly. A number of simulations show that virtually all geo-engineering methods proposed so far present large risks that could be deemed unacceptable.
The Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group however identified bio-energy with carbon storage (BECS) as a safe, feasible, efficient and cost-effective intervention, that performs on the scale of geo-engineering options, but allows societies to function more or less as normal.
Negative emissions energy systems are key to responding to ACC because – taking account of rising levels on non-CO2 greenhouse gases, for which no means exists for accelerating natural removal processes – the need may be to get to CO2 levels below pre-industrial. This cannot be done by natural absorption, even with zero emissions energy [such as wind, solar, nuclear].The advantage of BECS is that it allows societies to function in a relatively normal manner, because this geo-engineering option does not affect energy supplies. Even more, it is the only strategy that produces energy while taking carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere (none of the other geo-engineering strategies yield energy during their implementation).
A portfolio of Bio-Energy with Carbon Storage (BECS) technologies, yielding negative emissions energy, may be seen as benign, low risk, geo-engineering that is the key to being prepared for ACC. The nature of sequential decisions, taken in response to the evolution of currently unknown events, is discussed. The impact of such decisions on land use change is related to a specific bio-energy conversion technology. The effects of a precautionary strategy, possibly leading to eventual land use change on a large scale, is modeled. - Read and Lermit, ACCS
As scientists are more and more talking terms of radically cutting global CO2 emissions, such carbon-negative bioenergy systems have become the key to achieving this aim. Negative emissions energy systems can be implemented today, at relatively low cost and by using existing infrastructures (coal plants switching to biomass; natural gas plants swithing to biogas and synthetic biomass based gas - SNG).
References:
Montoya, M., and A. Levermann (2008), "Surface wind-stress threshold for glacial Atlantic overturning", Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L03608, doi:10.1029/2007GL032560.
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution: Abrupt Climate Change.
Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group.
P. Read and J. R. Lermit, "Bio-energy with carbon storage (BECS): a sequential decision approach to the threat of abrupt climate change", Energy, November 2005, vol. 30, no14, pp. 2654-2671 [*pdf - link to full article located at ACCStrategy].
Biopact: Abrupt Climate Change and geo-engineering the planet with carbon-negative bioenergy - December 21, 2006
Article continues
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
Breakthrough in plant science: gene discovery provides new tool to develop drought-tolerant crops
Stomata are tiny pores on the plant leaf surface, through which the leaves absorb carbon dioxide necessary for photosynthesis and release moisture into the air. The plasma membranes of the guard cells that surround the stomatal pore contain several types of ion channels which control the opening and closing of the circular guard cells when the plant encounters a stressful situation, such as increased ozone in the air or drought.
The regulation of stomata is an intensively-studied topic and several ion channel types that control their activity have been discovered earlier. However, an anion channel, which is of central importance in the regulation of stomatal activity, was identified only recently by Finnish and American scientists. A measuring device developed at the University of Tartu, Estonia, was of great help in the process.
Professor Jaakko Kangasjärvi and his research group from the University of Helsinki identified the anion channel using an ozone-sensitive mutation of Arabidopsis thaliana commonly known as thale cress. The mutant, called slac1, does not react by closing its stomata as a response to high ozone or carbon dioxide concentration in the air like a healthy plant does. Scientist at the University of California were then able to demonstrate with electrophysiological measurements that the gene identified effectively encodes an anion channel involved in the regulation of stomatal activities.
The scientists named the gene which mediates CO2 sensitivity in the regulation of plant gas exchange SLAC1 (SLOW ANION CHANNEL-1). The SLAC1 protein is a distant homologue of bacterial and fungal C4-dicarboxylate transporters, and is localized specifically to the plasma membrane of guard cells.
SLAC1 is of central importance for the mechanisms of stomatal regulation. Unlike the ion channels detected previously, this newly discovered anion channel takes part in the regulation of all the main stomatal activities:
energy :: sustainability :: biomass :: bioenergy :: biofuels :: plant science :: carbon dioxide :: photosynthesis :: respiration :: transpiration :: climate change :: drought-tolerance :: biotechnology ::
Climate change makes it all the more important to know about the mechanisms involved in stomata regulation. Aridity is on the increase across the globe, as is the world population. Increasingly dry areas should be taken into cultivation to ensure food and fuel production. When developing crops that thrive in dry areas, it is important to know well the mechanisms that regulate stomata, through which plants evaporate moisture.
The effects of climate change, which increases atmospheric ozone and carbon dioxide concentrations, cause a new challenge for plants. Plants protect themselves against high ozone by closing the stomata on their leaves. While this protection mechanism minimises damage to the plant, it also reduces carbon dioxide uptake for photosynthesis and thus could reduce the sequestering of the excess atmospheric carbon in plant material.
A different kind of plant, however, could grow better in the new conditions. This discovery will provide a new tool for geneticists in the development of climate resilient plants.
Because the opening and closing of stomatal pores also regulates water loss from plants, understanding the genetic and biochemical mechanisms that control the guard cells during closing of the stomatal pores in response to stress can have important applications for agricultural scientists seeking to genetically engineer crops and other plants capable of withstanding severe droughts.
The study was financed by grants from the National Science Foundation and the National Institute of General Medical Sciences.
Image 1: confocal picture of an Arabidopsis stoma showing two guard cells exhibiting green fluorescent protein and native chloroplast (red) fluorescence.
Image 2: Colored guard cells surround a stomatal pore. Credit: UC San Diego.
References:
Triin Vahisalu, Hannes Kollist, Yong-Fei Wang, Noriyuki Nishimura, Wai-Yin Chan, Gabriel Valerio, Airi Lamminmäki, Mikael Brosché, Heino Moldau, Radhika Desikan, Julian I. Schroeder & Jaakko Kangasjärvi, "SLAC1 is required for plant guard cell S-type anion channel function in stomatal signalling", Nature advance online publication 27 February 2008 | doi:10.1038/nature06608
Juntaro Negi, Osamu Matsuda, Takashi Nagasawa, Yasuhiro Oba, Hideyuki Takahashi, Maki Kawai-Yamada, Hirofumi Uchimiya, Mimi Hashimoto & Koh Iba, "CO2 regulator SLAC1 and its homologues are essential for anion homeostasis in plant cells", Nature advance online publication 27 February 2008 | doi:10.1038/nature06720
Eurekalert: Breakthrough in plant research - February 27, 2008.
UC San Diego: Gene That Controls Ozone Resistance of Plants Could Lead to Drought-Resistant Crops - February 27, 2008.
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