Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.">
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Rainforest destruction progresses in waves Rhett A. Butler, mongabay.com August 05, 2010 The study, which tested economic theory predicting "a systematic allocation of land to its highest use value in response to distance from centers of demand", found that forest exploitation in Tanzania between 1991 and 2005 indeed expanded "through time and space as concentric waves, with each wave targeting lower value products." Tanzanian forests close to Dar es Salaam, the capital and a major trading hub, were initially exploited for precious timber suitable for export markets. As valuable hardwoods were depleted, loggers moved into more distant areas. Meanwhile other actors began to extract progressively smaller, less valuable trees from logged-over forest areas, eventually moving down the value chain to scrap wood for charcoal production. The process diminished the ecological capacity of forests, including carbon storage, biodiversity, and provisioning of other ecosystem services, according to the authors, led by Antje Ahrends of the Royal Botanic Garden in Edinburgh and the University of York.
The authors argue their work can be used to forecast forest degradation in other regions. "Our study suggests that tropical forest degradation can be modeled and predicted," they write.
CITATION: Ahrends, A. et al. Predictable waves of sequential forest degradation and biodiversity loss spreading from an African city. PNAS Early Edition for the week of July 5, 2010.
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